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Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Why The New Orleans Saints Are In So Much Trouble

The New Orleans Saints just can’t seem to do anything right. They have been caught up in a bounty scandal in which the head coach has been suspended for a year, their ex-defensive coordinator is suspended indefinitely, their assistant head coach is suspended six games, their GM is suspended eight games, and the team was fined $500,000, as well as losing next year’s second round draft picks. To go along with all of these suspensions, the Saints’ owner just bought one of the worst basketball teams in the NBA in the New Orleans Hornets, but have yet to sign future first ballot hall of famer Drew Brees. Everyone in the Saints’ organization is hoping all of this is a bad dream or that it is some sick trick for a “Want to get Away?” commercial. As for right now though, most of the Saints’ front office is marching out, and they have been hit with the strictest punishment in the history of the NFL.


The bounty scandal doesn’t just involve the New Orleans Saints organization, but encompasses the entire NFL and the physical nature that is associated the game is played. What Commissioner Roger Goodell doesn’t want to be associated with the NFL though, is concussions. The commissioner is trying to take blows to the head out of the game. While safety is the primary issue for Goodell, what can’t go unmentioned are the lawsuits being filed by former NFL players that have suffered life-altering injuries while playing in the league against Roger Goodell and the NFL. Talk about the fans all you want, but the NFL is a business and when lawsuits are brought up against a business, that business loses money. The NFL is not going to be complacent with losing money to ex-player benefits to pay for the vicious hits given and taken throughout a player’s NFL career. This is what triggered Goodell to implement rule changes and come down hard with penalties and fines to players who violate these rule changes. Combine this with the New Orleans Saints bounty scandal and it turned into a perfect storm to wreak havoc on the Saints organization.


Gregg Williams, the ex-defensive coordinator of the New Orleans Saints, is at the front of the bounty scandal. Williams was, and still is, regarded as one of the best defensive coaches in the NFL. He always coached a physical, tenacious defense that that mirrored some of the leagues’ best year after year. His legacy has been tarnished though through reports and audio of Williams offering money to players who injure the opposing team’s best players. The most recent bounty issued was in the Saints’ wild card playoff game against the San Francisco 49’ers. Williams was recorded in this speech telling players to take out quarterback Alex Smith. He told players to hit Smith in the chin saying, “Kill the head and the body will die.” What started as an emotional speech to amp the players up quickly turned very vicious. Bounties were also placed on running backs Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter, tight end Vernon Davis, and wide receivers Kyle Williams and Michael Crabtree.
Amongst other commands Gregg Williams gave to inflict pain on the 49’ers, one of them was to take out the ACL of Crabtree, and hit Williams in the head as much as possible, due to his history of concussions. Although the NFL is a physical game, Williams crossed the line in what he told his players to do. Football players will try to hit their opponent as hard as possible, and if he is hurt afterward, so be it, that’s that game of football. But it is a whole different story when a player goes out with malicious intent to try and inflict an injury upon another player. I played football throughout my high school career under a coach that was adamant on being able to hit and to hit hard. He is now the defensive coordinator at Plano West Senior High School and I asked coach John Bandy on what he thought of the punishment handed out by Goodell to Williams and he said, “[It was] maybe a little harsh, but he had to make an example.” Physical play is accepted and wanted in football, but telling a player to seek out and deliberately injure another player is not football. This is where Williams crossed the line and he deserves to be made an example out of.


I fully understand what Goodell is trying to do with his implementation of rule changes to make the game safer, but he can also cross the line. He can’t necessarily overstep his boundaries though since he’s the commissioner, but the changes he is making to the game are turning into something it is not. With player safety in mind, Goodell has made certain hits illegal in order to protect players. Some I can understand while others just don’t make sense.


What does make sense? What makes sense is the fact that it is now illegal for a player to launch himself directly at another player’s head for a tackle, this, along with helmet-to-helmet contact lead to the most amount of concussions, and the more serious of injuries in the NFL. It’s not just the NFL who discourages launching though; the NHL recently suspended Raffi Torres of the Phoenix Coyotes 25 games for launching himself into Martin Hosa of the Chicago Blackhawks in game 3 of their first round playoff series. The NHL has it right here. Hockey, may I remind you, is the sport where fighting is allowed and a ref does not step in to stop the fight until one of the players goes to the ice. Granted, both players receive five minute major penalties, but it just proves that hockey is a physical sport and it also does not accept a player launching himself at another player. Torres is suspended roughly one-third of the length of the NHL season, so to make it equivalent, a player who launches himself at another in the NFL would receive a five game suspension if the same policy were followed as in hockey. It is a steep price to pay, but it gets the message across.


What doesn’t make sense? What doesn’t make sense in the rule changes made by Goodell is the protection of quarterbacks and receivers. Currently, the following infractions warrant a 15 yard penalty and possible fine involving the quarterback: hitting a quarterback after the ball is thrown, hitting him below the knees, touching his helmet (yes, just touching it), and driving the quarterback to the ground (basically, hitting him too hard). I agree that a quarterback should not participate in helmet to helmet contact, nor should any player and I agree that he should not be hit after the ball is thrown, but that rule isn’t as new as the others. The penalty that involves a quarterback being hit too low will forever be infamously named the Tom Brady rule. In 2008, Brady was hit in the knee by a lunging Bernard Pollard of the Kansas City Chiefs in a play where it looked
like Pollard simply rolled up into Brady’s legs. This play tore Brady’s ACL and MCL and caused him to miss the remainder of the season for a play that happened with 7:38 left in the first quarter of the first game of the season. It’s a shame that this had to happen to Brady, but football players are taken out below the knees on every play of the game. Defensive players knife to take out a ball carrier’s legs to make a tackle and offensive players chop defensive players’ legs out from under them to complete a block. A quarterback is still a football player and should get similar treatment to every other position on the football field. If the rules keep changing to “protect” the quarterback then we might as well just make him wear a different color jersey and make it so he can’t be touched at all in order to protect his safety.


Secondly, receivers receive the second most special treatment of players on the field. The rule that gets to me the most is how a defensive player is unable to hit a defenseless receiver. This states that, before a defensive player attempts to tackle the receiver, the receiver must first have caught the ball, put two feet on the ground, and make a football move. This is most seen on plays where a receiver’s route brings him across the middle of the field, the heart of the defense. Personally, I think defensive back is the hardest defensive position in football. You go up against the fastest, most athletic players on the field and there is no one behind you, or often outside of you, to make the play if you slip up. The position is hard enough in that many rules limit the physicality in which defensive players can play receivers. Defensive players can only make contact with receivers within five yards of the scrimmage, and cannot disrupt the route in any way. In fact, after a receiver has passed the five yard mark, unless the defensive back makes a play on the ball (which can also be considered a penalty), he cannot touch the receiver until he is no longer “defenseless”. Let’s face it, the only time a receiver is “defenseless” is when he is in the end zone or on the sidelines. Some of the hits on receivers are questionable as to whether or not they should be called though. In plays going for the ball or on tackles, it seems like offensive players are getting the benefit of the doubt.


“Being a defensive coach,” said Bandy, “some of the hits I have seen players penalized for look like good hits to me. When they’re called judgment calls, everyone can have a different judgment.”


More and more of the judgment calls seem to be going to the offense. Quarterbacks and receivers seem to be getting the benefit of the doubt in 50/50 plays that could be called either way. What is the real reason for protecting quarterbacks and receivers though? It all goes back to the money discussed earlier in this story. Again, the NFL is a business. It is a business in which it tries to protect its best money making assets as every other business would do. In general, most fans of the NFL enjoy high scoring games much more than a defensive battle. High scoring teams put people into seats more than low-scoring defensive match ups. Nothing creates high powered scoring offenses like the connection between a quarterback and his receivers. If either quarterback or receiver went down for a team, it would hurt the offense, which would decrease the amount of points the team would score, and would ultimately decrease the amount of interest in a team. We’ve all seen it. Two games are on. The Ravens are up 7-6 on the Browns with the 4th quarter just starting in a game full of punts and fumbles. Meanwhile, The Patriots and Dolphins are playing and the score is 42-36 with the 4th quarter just starting. Which game are you going to watch? You are going to tune into to the Patriots-Dolphins game, because you are more likely to see a score. It’s simple really. Protected quarterback and receivers=more points and more points=better ratings/ticket sales.


To sum it all up, you can make a point that the NFL has made a lot of its rule changes in order to bring in more money to the sport. Don’t get me wrong though, player safety is still the number one reason and the basis for the start of all of the rule changes. All I’m saying is, if a defensive tackle goes down after being chopped, no rule change is going to be implemented to protect him from a similar play causing a similar injury, but if Tom Brady goes down, a rule will be made to ensure that that does not happen again. Is safety an issue? It definitely is. While football is a very physical and violent sport, changes can be made to make the game more safe without taking away too much of the physicality of the game. Is money an issue? It definitely is. If the NFL didn’t care about money then the lockout wouldn’t have lasted so long last off-season, games wouldn’t be played over in England, and rules would not be changed to protect the players who are responsible for putting points up on the board.


This all comes back to why the penalties on the New Orleans Saints were so harsh. Gregg Williams told his players to deliberately injure players in a time where the commissioner of the sport was cracking down on plays that cause injury. Goodell was waiting to make an example out of someone to strengthen his policy of player safety. In a time where it seems you can sue anyone for anything, Goodell and the NFL do not escape lawsuits. They have to listen to suits being filed against them
for not doing more to protect the players ultimately from themselves. Because of the lawsuits the NFL is losing money, and because no rules were in place against violent hits, star players were going down. The only way to solve these problems for Goodell was to implement stricter rules. The Saints were warned multiple times that they were violating the rules and the Saints shrugged off the allegations as nothing. That is until all of the information surfaced of Williams instructing his players to tears ACL’s and give concussions to players on the opposing team. Goodell brought the hammer down not only on ring leader Gregg Williams, but the entire Saints organization. Head coach Sean Payton is suspended until after this year’s Super Bowl and is not allowed to have any contact with the team until after that takes place. Mickey Loomis, Saints general manager, has been suspended 8 games and is now caught up in an allegation that states that he was able to hear opposing coaches in the visiting locker room from 2002-2004 with a device he used. Joe Vitt, the Saints interim head coach, won’t start coaching until the Saints’ 7th game seeing as he is suspended for the first six games of the Saints’ season. Owner Tom Benson doesn’t seem to know where his head is at either. Drew Brees is not just the face of the New Orleans Saints, but the face of the city of New Orleans. As time continues to pass by without Brees having a new contract, Benson recently bought the struggling NBA franchise New Orleans Hornets. At the press conference announcing he had bought the team, the first question, and rightfully so, was why he hadn’t signed Drew Brees. Benson says that contract talks are going well, but until the ink hits the paper can we really believe him? He hasn’t really employed the most trustworthy of people lately. Although, despite everything going on, you’d think Benson would take a page out of the NFL’s book and protect his star player.


-Colby
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Conference Tournament Preview Wednesday

Back from Spring Break!

This is the best time of the college basketball season. Conference tournaments are getting in full swing, and then that is obviously followed by the awesomeness of the NCAA Tournament. Some of the major conference tournaments begin Wednesday, so here is just a breakdown of some of the key games that will be taking place.

Atlantic-10 Tournament
(8) Dayton vs. (9) St. Louis - With some of Daytons non-conference wins (Louisville, Pitt), you have to figure they might still have a slim shot at an at-large if they can beat Xavier in the Quarterfinals of the A-10 Tournament. But the way that theyve been playing lately, they cant afford to overlook St. Louis in round 1.

(6) Charlotte vs. (11) Rhode Island - Both of these teams have talent, and they can make a run in the A-10 Tourney if they get hot. Rhode Island has been in a freefall since their hot start. Meanwhile, Charlotte is led by streaky scorer Leemire Goldwire.

Big East Tournament
(8) Syracuse vs. (9) Villanova - The loser is essentially eliminated from at-large consideration, while the winner might even still need to beat Georgetown in the Quarterfinals to feel safe. Do-or-die game, and a great way to start off the Big East Tourney.

(5) West Virginia vs. (12) Providence - The Mountaineers have a good conference record, but they havent really beaten a lot of quality opponents. A loss here might make them sweat a little, though theyre probably safe either way.

Pac-10 Tournament
(7) Arizona vs. (10) Oregon St. - This is a must-win game for Arizona, though it shouldnt be a problem against 0-18 Oregon St. The Wildcats might need to win this game and a quarterfinal matchup with Stanford to be safe. If things are clicking, they have the potential to win 4 games in 4 days.

These are the games with the biggest bubble implications... on Thursday, the rest of the big tournaments start up, making that one of the best basketball days of the year! Which game are you most looking forward to seeing?
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Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!

Ill be super busy as Im sure most will over the next couple of days, but hopefully all you great readers have a great holiday!
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NBA Draft 2009 Preview Point Guards

This article can also be found here.

With the NBA moving more and more towards faster basketball by rewarding the drive-and-kick style of offense, point guards are more important than ever in the NBA. Looking at the impact of guys like Chris Paul, Deron Williams, and even Derrick Rose this year, having a good PG can completely turn around a franchise. In the 2009 NBA Draft, point guard looks like the strongest position, both in terms of talent and the top and depth throughout the first round.

The first point guard off the board will almost certainly be Ricky Rubio, the youngster from Spain. He showed his talent and potential in the 2008 Olympics, where as a 17-year old the Spaniard more than held his own against the best competition in the world. There is definitely a lot to like about Rubio. He is a true PG, with innate ability to lead an offense, get others involved, and take charge and score when his team needs it. He is creative offensively, and can find passing lanes and create plays seemingly out of nothing. He is not a great shooter yet, but he has very good form, and his great FT shooting (80%) suggests he will grow into a very good shooter. To top it all off, he is very charismatic on and off the court, which is perfect in the business in the NBA. Hes the best PG in the draft, and he could go as high as 2 to Memphis and no lower than 4 to Sacramento.

After that, things get a little more interesting. The next wave of guys to go look like hybrid PG/SG rather than true point guards. First, there is Stephen Curry from Davidson. He played mostly SG in college (though did transition to PG his junior year), but will likely be too small to play SG in the NBA. But he is the best shooter in the draft, a prolific scorer who can create his own shot or get one off quickly off of a screen, and he will be a potent offensive threat in the NBA. There are some concerns about whether he can effectively run an offense or be a solid defender at the next level, but he did help alleviate some of thos with his play this season.

Next theres Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans, two highly touted one-and-dones with loads of talent. Evans played PG at Memphis last season as a freshman, but the 2 guard might be his more natural position. He can score and defend, but there are certainly some questions about how well he can an offense. Jrue Holiday has all the tools to be a very good NBA player, but his production did not jump out at anyone in his one year at UCLA. He has the tools to be a great defender, but he is not a very natural scorer right now. Also, though he played PG and that looks like his natural position, he didnt play it full-time last year with the Bruins, as they had Darren Collison to help carry that load.

Perhaps the biggest unknown in the whole draft is Brandon Jennings. He was a high prospect before last season, and had committed to Arizona before deciding to spend the year playing in Europe. However, his playing time was sporadic, and scouts really did not get a great chance to watch him play. In addition, they havent been able to see him in very many workouts either. The talent certainly appears to be there, but there are a lot of unknowns surrounding him, which could cause his stock to drop.

The class is rounded off with guys who produced a lot at the college level, but who have questions about how their game will translate at the NBA level. First is Johnny Flynn from Syracuse. He has all of the physical tools of strength and quickness that you look for, but there are concerns about his height and shooting ability from the outside. Then there is Ty Lawson from North Carolina, who might be the quickest and fastest player in the draft, but again, there are concerns about his height and shooting ability. Eric Maynor was a great college player for VCU, and he is certainly remembered for his game-winner against Duke in the NCAA Tournament. He is an opportunistic defender and good leader offensively, but he doesnt really stand out in any one area. Last, there is Darren Collison, who may have been a lottery pick if he had come out after his sophomore year, but now might struggle to get picked in the first round. You know what you are getting with him... great shooter and great on-the-ball defender. There are some questions about his size, but he should be a productive NBA player.

So the point guard position looks to be the deepest in this years NBA Draft. With star power of Rubio at the top, and depth throughout the first round, look for many point guards to be taken in this years NBA Draft. There might not be any future MVPs within the group, but there will be a lot of solid NBA players.
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NBA Playoff Predictions

With the long, grinding season over, weve finally reached the NBA playoffs. To be honest, I found this NBA regular season to be pretty dull for the most part, but weve got a lot of great playoff matchups. Heres my picks:

EAST

(1) Detroit Pistons vs. (8) Orlando Magic
The Magic just arent playing very good basketball right now. Theyve got some good parts, but I think Detroit is just too talented and too experienced. Magic might steal 1, but Detroit is number 1 seed for a reason. PISTONS IN 5.

(4) Miami Heat vs. (5) Chicago Bulls
I think Dwyane Wade is great, but I dont really like this matchup for Miami. The Bulls basically gave Miami everything they wanted last year in the first round, and now the Bulls are better and the Heat are worse than they were. If Wade was at full strength, maybe. But as it is, I think the Bulls will be too strong, especially defensively, against the Heat. BULLS IN 6.

(3) Toronto Raptors vs. (6) New Jersey Nets
Everyone seems to be picking the Nets here, but Im not so sure. I think the Raptors are the better defensive team, and theyre a little more balanced. Plus, the Nets bench it just so bad. Either way, it will definitely be a tight series, and if I were a Raptors fan, I would boo Vince Carter mercilessly. RAPTORS IN 7.

(2) Cleveland Cavaliers vs. (7) Washington Wizards
I feel robbed. Instead of LeBron vs. Wade in round 1, we get this. I can just about guarantee it wont be as exciting as the series last year between these 2 teams. CAVS IN 4.


WEST

(1) Dallas Mavericks vs. (8) Golden State Warriors
Interesting matchup here for obvious reasons... Golden State has performed very well against Dallas this year, and the Warriors coach is Don Nelson, who is pretty familiar with this Mavs team. Still, lets not get carried away. Theres a reason the Mavs won 67 games. MAVS IN 5.

(4) Houston Rockets vs. (5) Utah Jazz
Jazz have a very solid starting lineup with the potential to cause problems for Houston. Deron Williams is going to be really tough to guard, and Mehmet Okur can pull Yao Ming away from the basket. But this is a really good Houston team... they have the two stars, tons of great role players, and they just do what it takes to win. As Ive said many times, the Rockets actually remind me a lot of the Heat last year as a team. ROCKETS IN 6.

(3) San Antonio Spurs vs. (6) Denver Nuggets
Obviously the Nuggets star power is enough to cause anyone problems, but this is San Antonio were talking about. Theyre great defensively, and I think they should be able to slow down a good but slightly predictable Denver attack. I think Bowen will frustrate Carmelo some, and the duo of Parker/Ginobili will be able to stay with AI enough to not let him take over enough games to win the series. This should be very entertaining, but the Spurs are a little too good. SPURS IN 6.

(2) Phoenix Suns vs. (7) Los Angeles Lakers
This was probably the best first round series last year, but I dont think well see a repeat of that. For one, Phoenix is better. Theyve got some guy named Amare Stoudemire that should be able to dominate down low. Thats even bigger because the Lakers are not as good inside as they were last year. The series should still be entertaining because of the Kobe vs. the Suns aspect, but I dont think it will be as good as last year. SUNS IN 5.

Disagreements?
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2006 NBA Preview Southeast Division

While not as deep as the Central division, this division includes the defending champs, and a couple of young and improving teams.

Atlanta Hawks - The young talent is accumulating in Atlanta. Josh Smith improved each of his first 2 years, and looks posied to be an Andrei Kirilenko type player. Marvin Williams may not have been the right choice over Chris Paul in the draft, but that doesnt mean hes not immensely talented (though injured at the moment). And we all saw what Joe Johnson can do when he played great at PG last year. Theyre still not anywhere near a playoff spot, but theyve got some good, young pieces.

Charlotte Bobcats - The Bobcats cupboard is not bare either. Thanks to starting off going just for youth, along with some solid drafting and FA signing, the Bobcats are a talented, young team. In April, PG Raymond Felton averaged over 17 points and 9 assists per game. I dont know that his numbers will be that good this year, but throw in a scorer in Adam Morrison, and that helps. Gerald Wallace is very possibly the most underrated player in the NBA. He takes high percentage shots, rebounds well, and is great defensively. Inside, theyve got depth, with guys like Emeka Okafor, Primoz Brecez, Sean May, Melvin Ely, etc. Theyre probably a year away, but if things go right, a playoff trip is not out of the realm of possibility.

Miami Heat - If you thought Dwyane Wade carried a big load last year, well, hell have to do it again. Basically the whole team is back, which is good because they won the title, and bad because they were already old, and now theyre just a year older. And with Jason Williams out to start the year, backcourt depth will be very thin. Regardless, they should be able to basically coast through the season and get to the playoffs, where theyll look to regain the magic of last year. As long as they got DWade, they got a chance.

Orlando Magic - Like the Hawks and Bobcats in the division, this is a very young team that will probably be better next year than they are this year. Unlike the Hawks and Bobcats, theyre a pretty solid team now as well. It all starts inside with Dwight Howard, a big-time force. Hes already perhaps the best rebounder in the NBA, and continues to improve his offensive game. Something like 18 and 14 per game this year is not out of the question at all. Also down low is Darko Milicic. Hes another guy I like, and I think Detroit would be a lot better of they had kept him. Darko is immensely talented, and should be a force for the Magic in the future. The backcourt is anchored by Jameer Nelson, whos also young and continues to improve. If Grant Hill can give them at least half a season, theyve got a very solid chance to make it to postseason play.

Washington Wizards - The Big 3 returns, and they will once again have to carry the load for the Wizards. Gilbert Arenas is one of the top players in the NBA, Caron Butler averaged 19 and 7 after the All-Star Break, and Antawn Jamison can score from anywhere. But can everyone else chip in? The bench is extremely weak, so they need to stay healthy. Darius Songaila provides some nice front court depth (even if they did overpay), and Antonio Daniels is a very solid 6th Man. If they can stay healthy again, I like them to finish about where they did last year... 4th or 5th seed.

Predicted Order of Finish
1. Miami Heat
2. Washington Wizards
3. Orlando Magic
4. Charlotte Bobcats
5. Atlanta Hawks
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Early Season MLB Surprises and Disappointments

With the MLB season being 1/16 over, of course its time to grossly exaggerate what has happened so far.

-Surprises-

Livan Hernandez, RHP, Twins- I and humans everywhere scoffed at the Twins throwing multi million dollars at Livan Hernandez, but so far at least it has worked out. Livan is 3-0, but more importantly he has a 2.57 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. If the Twins play Adam Everett and Matt Tolbert in the middle infield spots it should boost their defense and help out Livan and more importantly the rest of that young staff.

Brian Bannister, RHP, Royals- I suppose I shouldnt be too surprised, but I didnt totally believe Bannisters 2007. He had a good year, but only 77 strikeouts. Whats surprising is that Bannister doesnt quite put up the stats that should endear him to the sabermetric community, and more so, he understands why. The fact that Bannister is familiar with things like DIPS should only make him be a better pitcher and improve even more.

San Francisco Giants- Yes I realize theyre 6-10 only. Yes I realize its April 16, but if the Giants put up this good of a record over a whole season Ill be very impressed. Honestly, they are horrible. Take a look around their roster once. Bengie Molina hits cleanup? Brian Bocock plays short? Brian Bocock put up a robust .220/.293/.328 in the California League, probably the best offensive league in minor league baseball, which equates out to a -25.9 VORP. And outside of Angel Villalona, who is only 17, there isnt any help coming from any younger kids either, unless Dan Ortmeier tickles your fancy. The only thing keeping them going is the duo of Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum. And with the way hes pitching and the way the offense is going, Matt Cain is my odds on favorite to lead the NL in ERA and losses, if you can bet on such a thing.

-Disappointments-

Russ Martin, C, Dodgers- Really I could include the entire Dodgers team here. I picked out Martin mainly because I traded for him in fantasy baseball, but to tell the truth Im not worried. My main complaint with the Dodgers is that Joe Torre is treating managing a major league baseball team like its building a space shuttle (or to borrow a phrase from my favorite person on earth "its not rocket surgery") rather than what it is: put your best 8 (or 9) guys out there and let them go to it. Instead the Dodgers have used the same lineup just twice, and inexplicably have played Juan Pierre, who shouldnt ever be on the field except to pinch run, instead of Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier for some games. Really Joe Torre, put him in the 2 hole and let him go to work. The end.

New York Yankees- I said this was the year the Yankees would miss the playoffs. Hopefully Ill be right. Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes have tons of talent, but it takes time to adjust to a major league season, but the Yankees dont have free wins against the Rays and Jays anymore to get back on track. The American League is just too good for a team to have to wait to get things going. Also, why in the world dont the Yanks have Mussina in the pen and Joba in the rotation? Truth be told, I hate the Yankees, and Im not a huge fan of Joba doing stuff like this, but its tough to root against a guy when this is going on. Also, the Yankees are relying probably a bit too much on older players such as Damon, Giambi, Posada and Matsui. Obviously they are good players, but how long can they play at their highest level?

On one more note, my preseason World Series pick, the Arizona Diamondbacks (yes I wish I had that on record) are playing very well. Chris Young is coming into his own (although probably should be hitting cleanup) and Justin Upton is one of the better young players in the game. It should be interesting to follow them all season.

Who are your surprises and disappointments?




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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2007 Week 14

I missed the Bears/Redskins game, but here are the rest of the week 14 picks as I continue my drive for .500!

Bills (-7) over Dolphins

Rams (+6.5) over Bengals

Browns (-3) over Jets

Cowboys (-10.5) over Lions

Chiefs (+6.5) over Broncos

Raiders (+10.5) over Packers

Colts (-9) over Ravens

Jaguars (-10.5) over Panthers

Vikings (-8.5) over 49ers

Patriots (-10.5) over Steelers

Giants (+3) over Eagles

Cardinals (+7) over Seahawks

Bucs (-3) over Texans

Chargers (PK) over Titans

Saints (-4) over Falcons

Last Week: 6-9
Season: 81-87-10
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Fantasy Football Sleeper Mewelde Moore

If you have an extra roster spot on your roster teams, strongly consider picking up Mewelde Moore. Right now hes the 3rd string RB for the Vikings that has been inactive for 2 of their 4 games this year. But pay no attention to that. He could be the starting RB for the Bucs pretty soon.

The Vikings and Bucs have been in talks, and its almost too logical. Moore is a FA after this year, and he wont get much (any?) playing time behind Chester Taylor and AD. Meanwhile, the Bucs are in the middle of a playoff race, and their top 2 RBs are hurt. A deal HAS to be done. My guess is that a deal eventually does get done (with the Bucs sending a 5th rounder).

When that happens and if Moore starts, he should be a solid fantasy option. As someone that has watched every one of his games, hes solid. Hes not a great RB, but hes productive. Hes not a burner, but hes shifty, surprisingly tough to bring down, and he catches the ball a ton out of the backfield (which is perfect for the TB offense).

In 4 years, he has a career 4.9 YPC. Some of that is in garbage time, sure, but thats still really good. Playing mostly part-time roles, he has almost 3 catches a game for his career. He can be even more productive in that area if he gets consistent playing time.

So trust me, if you have an extra roster spot, take a look at getting Mewelde Moore. It makes too much sense for a deal not to be made, and he should be really productive if he gets playing time.
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Have a Great Labor Day Weekend!

Me? Ill be off at Valley Fair.

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Why LeBron will go Everywhere

America welcomes in a new national holiday today, known as "Decision Day." No, Obama is not contemplating whether to keep troops overseas and Lindsay Lohans cas hasnt been settled, BUT THE KING, the King presented us with a royal issue, on whether he decides to be moving his throne. LeBron James, the center of the universe, the ruler of the land, and the ambassador of national television, will decide where his basketball career will continue tonight at 9 EST on ESPN during a planned, 1 hour special on the decision.



Kevin Durant didnt even interview when signing his extension (5-years) with Oklahoma City two days ago, and Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh spilled the beans to friend and ESPN and ABC personality Michael Wilbon in an interview.


But "King" James will change the world of basketball forever during a 1-hour special on ESPN tonight.

So, where is he going? The opinion seems to change everday, and Chris Broussard was blessed with having the keys to the truck driving ESPNs coverage on the decision. He reports Miami, but my friend Harveen (Cavs fan) sais Cleveland and another fellow peer sais New York while Chicago and New Jersey have kept in consideration to the bitter end of this fiasco.


So, WHERE WILL HE GO? Lets analyze, shall we?


Why he will stay in Cleveland: As a good friend of mine puts it in relation to Vince Carter leaving Toronto, LeBron James will not be able to set foot back in the town he grew up in if he so decides to leave the land of the Cavaliers. The Cavaliers have surrounded him for his first 7 NBA seasons with the likes of Antawn Jamison, Larry Hughes, and Maurice Williams, and one NBA Finals trip has been accumulated. They were swept by the Spurs 4-0 in 2005, and only made it because the Eastern Conference was sorry that year, so sorry the Duncan apologized to LeBron after the 196 minute beat down. (dramatization) But, LeBron remained loyal to his hometown team all through the years, and even though he has better options elsewhere, the guilt and loyalty could keep him in Cleveland, where a new roster must be built.


Why he will go to Miami: There have been few, in fact numbered chances in NBA History to build a so-called "Super-Team" via free agency. The classic Celtics and Lakers teams were built with years of management, not one summer of a lot of cap room to spend on superstars. Dwayne Wade has already returned to South Beach with his fellow USA Teammate and bff Chris Bosh. LeBron is the third bff of this group, and he would like to play with his friends, who so happen to be NBA SuperStuds. With the three together, they will become a top 3 force in the NBA, barring the complimentary roster spots and parts. With that said, the goal of the three is to win championships, and that becomes apparent in the situation of the three going to Miami together.

Why he will go to New York: The Knicks have been clearing cap room at costs for years now, planning for the 2010 Summer of Free Agency, centered around LeBron James. The first big name free agent to switch cities was All-Star forward Amare Stoudemire. Amare joined the Knicks and proclaimed the "Knicks are back," assuming another star was brought in. Under Mike DAntoni, Stoudemire should flourish and post big numbers. The Knicks still need another star, and ALL THE PIECES are in place to make this team LeBrons squad. The roster has pieces that LeBron will make better and it is a great situation for him. Also, the Knicks would presumably have room to add another free agent or two, like Mike Miller or Brendan Haywood. Also, they could acquire a point guard (Rumor: Tony Parker) through a sign-and-trade with utility forward David Lee. Obviously, the Knicks are in New York, and while the city if Cleveland may burn all "23" gear, the city will worship King James and make him even more of a superstar then he already has become in his professional career. Situation: perfect to me.



Why he will go to Chicago: The Bulls cleared even more room with a draft day deal with Washington, sending Kirk Hinrich for a pick, making it possible to add THREE maximum free agents through the free agency period. Now that Wade and Bosh have settled on the Heat, the Bulls added stud Power Forward Carlos Boozer, who left Utah for a maximum contract. LeBron would make the Bulls an all-star team around himself, Boozer, and young, upcoming stars like Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah. Whether Rose and LeBron, both playmakers, can co-exist, is remained to be seen, but LeBron in Chicago makes the Bulls a balanced, and elite team. As well, they could add ANOTHER maximum free agent, perhaps David Lee ends up in Chicago, or Richard Jefferson, or even Mike Miller winds up wherever LeBron goes as a very, very effective role player.

Why he (would) choose New Jersey New Jersey has added a few role players, including Travis Outlaw today, and drafted young forward sensation and former Georgia Tech Yellow Jacket (like Bosh) Derrick Favors. Already with their own set of upcoming stud players in Devin Harris and Brook Lopez, LeBron would step in as the teams anchor and make the New Jersey market a bright star on the NBA Map. As well, the global map, as new Russian Owner Mikhail Prokhorov promises LeBron to be a "global icon" as James has stated he would like to become. A situation that may appear to be dead, but still notable.

Ive been saying Cleveland or New York, but my heart has seem to set like a Phoenix Sun (corny jokes needed) on the Knicks, because I would prefer Wade and Bosh go on King-less, while LeBron makes New York a perennial force in the National Basketball Association!
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College Basketball Preview Big 10


As we return to the college basketball previews, its time for the Big 12, the new home of Greg Oden (for at least a year).

Player of the Year: This list has to start with Alando Tucker from Wisconsin. The returning senior averaged nearly 20 points per game last year, and can do it all offensively. He can hit the outside shot, and at 66, he can go inside and post up smaller players. Hes very versatile and experienced which makes him the frontrunner for what will be a very good Wisconsin squad. Continuing with the senior theme is Adam Haluska from Iowa. One of the main holdovers from last years tournament squad, Haluska will be a leader for the Hawkeyes with his outside shooting and toughness.

Kelvin Sampsons biggest move this offseason was to convince DJ White to stay with the Hoosiers rather than transfer to UAB. If he can stay healthy, hes a real good looking player for the Hoosiers. Then there is the Buckeyes... Greg Oden is the guy that everyone talks about, and he has a chance if he plays up to his potential after he returns from injury, but dont overlook Jamar Butler. He was the leader and PG last year, and has the talent and leadership to be the Buckeyes best player this year. But in the end, its all about Alando Tucker... too good, and playing for the team that I think will win the Big 10.

Freshmen to Watch: Theres this guy named Greg Oden thats supposed to be pretty good... #1 prospect in the country, probable #1 pick in the NBA Draft assuming he comes out after this year. So Ohio St. has that going for them, which is nice. Heres what else they have going for them- Daequan Cook and Mike Conley. Both should contribute this year, and Cook may even start. For Michigan St., wing player Raymar Morgan and Isaiah Dahlman should have a chance to contribute right away after the Spartans lost their top 3 scorers from last season.

Breakout Players: Lets start at the top with the Badgers and big man Brian Butch. He was very highly touted, and while he has played decently well in his first couple of years, hes been a mild disappointment. But he should excel this year, with all the talent around and and the experience to go along with his talent. For Indiana, Earl Calloway should be studly at PG. In the NCAA Tournament loss against Gonzaga he nearly had a triple double (13 points, 10 assists, 9 rebounds). He should be a leader in the backcourt. The Illini lost their leader Dee Brown, but Brian Randle should grow and become their best player this year. The Spartans lost their top 3 scorers as mentioned, but Drew Neitzel returns and should become one of the best players in the Big 10. Hes a good passer, ballhandler, and shooter, which is something hell be called on to do more of. Lastly, the Gophers dont have a lot of hope this year, but if theyre going to have success it must come from Spencer Tollackson. The big man has the ability, he just has to remain consistent.

Predicted Order of Finish
1. Wisconsin
2. Indiana
3. Ohio St.
4. Illinois
5. Michigan
6. Michigan St.
7. Penn St.
8. Iowa
9. Purdue
10. Minnesota
11. Northwestern

I should also mention that if you want and need more in-depth coverage of the Big Ten, Big Ten Wonk is a great, great site. All the Big Ten writing youll ever need right there.
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Handicapping the Heisman

Hello everyone out there in Blog land. Twins is swamped lately with homework and the like, so in his place Im writing a little guest post. If youre a regular to this blog or to The Sports Flow, youve probably seen my (hopefully) excellent comments on their blogs. Ive tried my hand at a couple of blogs, but apparently a regular gig isnt my thing. But anyways I digress. This years college football season has been topsy turvy all around, and this has obviously impacted the Heisman race. Since Im all about uneven numbers, Im going to do a top 6 list.

6. Chase Daniel, QB, Missouri

Right now Daniel has a lot of hype, and with big wins over Kansas and either Oklahoma or Texas in the Big 12 championship game, Daniel can certainly shoot up to the top of the list. Daniel has thrown for 3,590 yards and 30 touchdowns with just 9 picks. As good as Daniels stats are, I have a tough time putting him higher on the list when he isnt even the most talented player on his own team, that being Freshman wideout Jeremy Maclin

5. Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas

Many peoples preseason #1, McFadden is probably the best pro prospect in college football. 5th in the nation in rushing, McFadden has shared time with Felix Jones all year. He does have 12 touchdowns but McFadden has been hurt-fairly or not- by Arkansas losing 4 games this year. Only rushing for 43 yards against Auburn and 61 against Florida International probably didnt help either

4. Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas

I know what youre thinking: a cornerback? Yes a cornerback. In fact, Talib should probably be even higher. Check out these stats: 4 touchdowns, 10.8 yards per catch, 8 interceptions, 1 sack. Not bad right? Well those arent Talibs stats. They belong to 1997 Heisman Trophy Winner Charles Woodson. Talibs are even better. Talib has 22.8 yards per catch, with 4 touchdowns, plus an interception return for a touchdown, which Woodson didnt have. Talib only has 3 picks this year, because no quarterback in his right mind will throw the ball his way. Talib dominates the game more- yes more- than Charles Woodson did in his Heisman season.

3. Dennis Dixon, QB, Oregon

Without his knee problems this season Dixon would probably be #1 on the list. Dixons run pass ability is something to be marveled at, and the way he leads the Ducks spread offense makes him one of the great players to watch. Ironically, one of his best passing games came in the Ducks first loss, to Cal back on September 29th. Only one game has been a truly poor rushing game for Dixon, when he ran for just 8 yards against Stanford, but he threw for 374 in that game. Sadly, with Dixons injury combining with the Ducks exclusion from the BCS title race he will fall short of the Heisman.

2. Todd Reesing, QB, Kansas

Undoubtedly the darkhorse of the chase. Why in the world has no one talked about Todd Reesing? The Sophomore from Austin, Texas has thrown for under 3,000 yards, but he has 33 touchdowns compared to just 4 picks, good for a 156 rating. Kansas leads the nation in turnover ratio, and Reesing is a huge part of that. Just 511", Reesings escapability has proven to be a valuable asset, although he only has 1 rushing touchdown on the season. He was hobbled by a sore ankle in the Iowa State game but still led the Jayhawks to a 45-7 win. With two more wins, Reesing could vault himself into serious Heisman consideration.

1. Tim Tebow, QB, Florida

A Freshman or Sophomore has never won the Heisman. Both of my top two are Sophomores. Why? Well for starters, Tebow is the only player in 1-A (No I will not call it the FBS) history to both rush and throw for 20 scores in a season. He also just moved passed, among others, Shaun Alexander on the career SEC rushing TDs list. It remains to be seen how Tebow projects as a professional, but he leads the defending champs in both rushing and passing. Hes thrown more picks than Reesing, but only 2 more, and they have nearly the same amount of yards. Combine that with the pass/run threat that Tebow possesses and he is 2007s best college football player.
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Cavs even the series

Some quick thoughts from Game 4:

- This is like deja vu for the Pistons. Last year, after game 2 of the 2nd round, their offense was kind of stagnant for the rest of the playoffs. This year, they dominated the first 2 games against Chicago, and then it was a struggle the rest of the series. Against Cleveland, they have really struggled all series, barely hanging onto the 2 games at home. Last year this all caught up with them in the conference finals, as Miami went on to win the series. This year, I kinda think the same thing will happen... I like Cleveland in 7.

- I am starting the think the Cavs are actually a better team without Larry Hughes (he only played 16 minutes because of injury). Theyre not as strong defensively without Hughes, but I think their offense is a little better.

- Where is the Chauncey Billups that was always the clutch performer at the end of games? To be blunt, he sucked at the end of this one. First the bad pass and foul, then the awful pull-up 3 on the fast break. Those were two killer plays.

- LeBron making a couple of clutch free throws! Yay!

- Im not an NBA head coach, but I think Detroit should have at least tried to guard Drew Gooden in the corner. He killed them from there in the last few minutes of the 4th.

- More and more I think that whoever wins this series is going to get lambasted in the Finals... the only hope is if Cleveland wins and LeBron single-handedly makes things interesting. Well see.

What are your thoughts on the game that was?
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Its good to be Boston College

At the start of the college football season, Boston College was unranked. After this weekend, they will most likely rank either 2 or 3 in the polls.

In between, they have won 7 games. 6 of those have come against FBS teams with a combined record of 16-23, and the other win was against FCS UMass. They played one ranked team, Georgia Tech, who was ranked 15th at the time. Georgia Tech is now 4-3. Besides that, they have beat Wake Forest, NC State, Army, UMass, Bowling Green, and Notre Dame. Theyve played 2 games away from home.

So yes, its good to be Boston College right now. Theyve beat 1 ranked team (who is no longer ranked), have won 2 road games, and have beat exactly 2 FBS teams that currently have a winning record. And yet they will jump from being unranked to being in the top 2, thanks to all of the upsets.

In my last poll, I ranked them 10th. If I make my poll again this week, they probably wont be that higher. They have a great QB, but they havent proven much. Obviously its become an increasingly difficult thing in college football to consistently win every week, but still, is Boston College one of the 2 best teams in college football? I find that hard to believe.

Im not sure what the point of this is, except to say that I still dont agree that just because a team is undefeated does not mean they should be higher in the polls than 1-loss teams. Id rather rank teams based on how good I think they are, not based on the fact that they havent lost so far against a relatively easy schedule. But thats just me.

If they beat Virginia Tech next week on the road, Ill be impressed. Until then, I firmly believe they could be one of the worst top 3 teams I can remember. Which isnt their fault. But it is another developing storyline in what has been a fascinating college football season so far.
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Early Look at the NBA Trading Deadline

The trade deadline in the National Basketball Association is arguably the most exciting time of the year for fans of every team. It’s the last chance for a couple months to make your team better, whether that means getting a veteran player for a pick and a 24-year old shooting guard, or acquiring depth, picks, and salary relief while unloading a star player of your own. Fans love change, and it always seems easy to swap players in video games, or over the internet, but in reality it’s one of the most difficult processes in all of sports.

Everything needs to fit.

Both teams must receive a certain player or players, acquire or send out cash , work with their salary cap, and ultimately – give value to get value that they desire to acquire from their trade partner or partners.

We’ve seen a bunch of complicated deals, especially over the past few seasons, take place in the NBA. Most notably was the largest trade in NBA history back in 2005. August 2 marked NBA history when the Heat, Celtics, Grizzlies, Hornets and Jazz initiated the five-team, thirteen player deal. There has not been a deal like that since, but many complex, large, and juicy trades have indeed gone down. Pau Gasol to the Lakers, Hedo Turkoglu rejoining the Magic after signing elsewhere a year earlier, Caron Butler and Brendan Haywood (and Deshawn Stevenson) for virtually nothing but salary relief and a fresh start, and most notably the pair of trades in the 2007 NBA off-season that sent future hall-of-famers Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen to the Boston Celtics for a bunch of potential. These two moves might mark the greatest off-season every by a single general manager, congrats Danny Ainge. The Celtics have been rewarded with 2 finals appearances, and 1 title in the three years since the transaction. However, it’s much easier in the off-season to consummate a deal. There is more time, less pressure, and no games being played. Mid-season is a tough time to make a (big) deal. The players are (hopefully) used to their environment, and teammates. A collected locker room setting is vital to a high-quality NBA team. To shake things up in mid-season, where there are no days off or “mercy games” to get things working together, that is a lot to ask of a group of players if there is a vast change of players or personnel mid-stride.


This trading deadline this year presents a unique situation. There have only been a few trades this season, with the Magic trading Rashard Lewis to the Wizards for Gilbert Arenas, and also dealing some players and cap relief to Phoenix for Hedo Turkoglu and others. The Mavericks took Peja Stojakovic from Toronto after the Raptors bought out his contract. Stojakovic was dealt from New Orleans to Toronto earlier in the year. Also, the Rockets, Nets, and Lakers engaged in a three-way deal that saw Terrence Williams and Sasha Vujacic change teams.

So, this deadline, what teams need to make moves? Here are three potential deals that would help both suitors.

Trade #1:

Thunder Get:

Richard Hamilton

Jonas Jerebko

Pistons Get:

Morris Peterson

Royal Ivey

BJ Mullens

Daequan Cook

The Pistons gain cap room for now, and also the future, clearing the big contract of Richard Hamilton. The Thunder get a needed scoring threat and good team player at the 2 guard position, along with veteran, playoff experience and a hard-working defender.

Detroit’s season is a wash, and is looking to unload not only Hamilton, but also Tayshaun Prince if they find a correct suitor. Hamilton gets a fresh start with a contender, as well as a young, promising talent in Jerebko, while Detroit continues to clear cap space and adds a couple young bodies in Mullens and Cook.

Pacers Get:

Anthony Randolph

Knicks Get:

1st Round Pick from Indiana

The Pacers have had a promising season, and can deal with giving up their first-round pick for potential-packed young forward Anthony Randolph. With Randolph in the frontcourt with Jeff Foster, Tyler Hansbrough, Josh McRoberts, and Danny Granger scoring 20+ ppg a night, the Pacers could be a sleeper pick for the 2011 postseason tournament. Randolph would be locked up for a few more years, and could play to his rarely seen potential because he is glued to the bench in New York in Mike D’Antoni’s rotation. The Knicks will be happy to trade someone who doesn’t play for a potential lottery pick if Indiana

Now let’s try a 3-teamer deal

Mavericks Get:

Tayshaun Prince

Pistons Get:

Deshawn Stevenson

Troy Murphy

Nets Get:

Charlie Villanueva

Brian Cardinal

Austin Daye

The Pistons let loose more salary, and the other teams take advantage by improving their respective rosters. The Mavericks have gotten hot once again, but still feel the loss and lack of presence that All-Star guard Caron Butler brought to the floor night in and night out. With Prince, they get scoring, and a very, very athletic, versatile defender to pad the starting lineup unit. The Pistons get Troy Murphy, a former perennial all-star talent who is stuck on the end of Avery Johnson’s bench in New Jersey, but in Detroit he can finish the last year of his contract with a solid second half and hopefully earn himself the new deal he probably deserves – and the playing time. The Nets take on Villanueva’s contract, hoping he comes through on fulfilling the deal he signed with Detroit in 2009, but demanded Austin Daye be a part of the package if they were going to swap Murphy’s expiring for Villanueva’s deal.

I’ll have more from Dallas with a local AND national spin on the trading deadline, as it will be here before we know it – February 24th.

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A few fantasy basketball sleepers

As with any fantasy league, the key to winning fantasy basketball is identifying sleepers who you believe will produce much more than their draft slot says that they should produce. Everyone knows about the stars that will come off the board near the top of the draft, but it is the sleepers that are taken later that will either win or lose the league for you. Here are a few of the guys that I am keeping an eye on in fantasy basketball drafts this season:

- Thaddeus Young - the third year man for the Philadelphia 76ers looks poised to take another big leap this season. Even though he will be entering his third season, he is only 21 years old. He made marked improvements in every area of the game, posting better scoring, rebounding, and shooting numbers. He looks like he has the talent to make a similar leap in year three, and could become a very valuable top 10 guy at his position, with expected boosts in scoring, rebounding, and 3-point shooting. Look for him as a solid performer in the middle rounds.

- JR Smith - He has a ton of talent at the 2 guard spot, and should continue to get the chance to showcase it after the departures of Dahntay Jones and Linas Kleiza. He is a great shooter that has the green light to fire whenever he has an opening, which makes him one of the most prolific three point shooters in the NBA. Starting in an explosive offense also featuring Chauncey Billups and Carmelo Anthony, he should get plenty of good looks in the Nuggets offense.

- Manu Ginobili - Everyone knows he is a great player, but he is sneakily one of the best in the NBA when he is healthy. He is an extremely efficient player. He can get to the basket and create easy baskets for himself, he is one of the best shooters in the NBA when left open (when should happen frequently in an offense with Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, and Richard Jefferson), and he is a great free throw shooter. After struggling with injuries for the past couple of seasons, he rested up this offseason, and appears the be healthy for the first time in years. The hunger will be there, as the Spurs look poised to challenge the Lakers for Western Conference supremacy, so you know that he will bring it every night.

These are just a few college basketball sleepers that I see. By identifying them and a few more guys that you like on draft night, you could put yourself in position to have a great fantasy basketball season. Who are your fantasy sleepers?
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Will the Saints and Colts go undefeated

With the Indianapolis Colts thrilling 35-31 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday night, they now sit at 14-0, while the New Orleans Saints are 13-0. If you have been following things at all, you likely know that this is the latest that two teams have both been undefeated this late in the season.

So, of course, the question must be asked... will they both go undefeated, and eventually meet in the Super Bowl? Who has the better shot?

As of now, you have to say the Colts have the better shot, simply because they are one game further along. As the Saints showed by getting a [pretty lucky] close win against the Redskins, anyone can beat anyone in this League, especially because everyone will be giving the Colts and Saints their best shot. Every team wants to be the one that beats the previously undefeated team, which puts a lot of pressure on the Colts and Saints.

The Colts have been particularly adept as escaping with wins this year, with a bevy of come-from-behind wins in the 4th quarter. 7 of their wins have been by 4 points or less, which is really remarkable to think about. They finish with a home game against the Jets and a road game against the Bills. One thing to thing about is their tendency to rest their starters at the end of the year. As they already have clinched home field throughout the playoffs, there is a very good chance that they will pull some of their starters over the next two games, which will obviously put them at a serious disadvantage.

The Saints are just 3 games away from an undefeated regular season, and they have been by comparison the more dominant team. They have the best offense in football, and there defense has shown the tendency to be opportunistic. They play at home against Dallas, at home against the Bucs, and then finish at Carolina. If they can get by this game against a Dallas team desperate for a win, they should have smooth sailing to an undefeated regular season.

I believe the Saints will finish the regular season undefeated, and the Colts will not, because I think they will begin to rest a lot of their starters. However, in the playoffs, I like the Saints to go down to the Vikings, giving the 1972 Dolphins another deep breath and another year of breaking out the champagne.

While youre watching these two teams play, you should take a look at playing some Football Bingo, a fun game to play while you are watching the action on the field!

Football Bingo Card
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Super Bowl Predictions

On paper, you couldnt really ask for a better Super Bowl.

We have star power, storied franchises, and rabid fan bases. Both teams are very good, and they are very complete teams.

The Packers are led by Aaron Rodgers, who is one of the most talented QBs in the NFL. He has a strong, accurate arm, and is sneakily one of the most athletic QBs in the League. They have a strong defense led by Clay Matthews, one of the best pass rushers out there. He is quick, fast, and has an attitude about him, leading their defense.

The Steelers are led by Ben Roethlisberger, one of the best playoff QBs you will find. He doesnt put up gaudy numbers, but he has a knack for making big plays when they are needed the most. He is a Super Bowl veteran and will be looking to add another to his trophy case. He is helped defensive by a strong LB corps, with James Harrison and Lamar Woodley, two hard-hitters and athletic defenenders.

In the end, I think Roethlisberger will make one more play than Rodgers. I like Mike Tomlin and the Steelers to be Super Bowl champions once again.

Steelers 27, Packers 24
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NFL Prediction Adrian Peterson will be the Rookie of the Year

I dont know how this matches up to some other bold predictions Ive made, and it may just be blatant homerism, but Im putting in my prediction right now that Adrian Peterson will be the NFL Rookie of the Year as long as he stays healthy.

I know, he is in a running back by committee system along with Chester Taylor. But just watch this play and tell me who you think will be getting more carries in this offense. Chester Taylor does a lot of things well, but Adrian Peterson is just an amazing runner. Hes fast, hes quick, hes powerful... hes got more talent than most running backs in the NFL have. Its only preseason, but Peterson had carries for 70 yards against the Jets, and looked VERY impressive doing it.

But still, both guys will get carries. I understand that. But I do think that as the Vikings get closer to the goal line, Peterson will start to get more carries and more TDs. Hes just got a nose for the endzone, and he has the power to get in there. He scored 41 touchdowns in college. Also, as the year goes on, I think Peterson will start to get more and more carries, as his talent will just be too difficult to keep off the field.

There is also some concern about his health, as he was bothered by some injuries in college. Obviously this is a concern, but I think the fact that he wont have to play every down right away will help. While the presence of Chester Taylor will hurt him a little in terms of overall numbers, it will help him stay fresh.

So what do you think? Can Adrian Peterson be the Rookie of the Year, or is this just wishful thinking on my part?
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No Need to Panic

The Dallas area was finally brought down to earth tonight as the Mavs fell 106-100 to the Thunder. Knowing the media of the Dallas area, panic will ensue over the Mavericks losing their first home game of this years playoffs. All of the what ifs will start to come out. The scenario that now that the series goes to OKC the Mavericks will go on to lose game 3, then game 4 will be a must win to avoid going down 3-1 to very scrappy Oklahoma City Thunder team.
Lets relax for a little bit here. The Mavericks lost a game by 6 in a game where their bench was outscored by 21 points. May I remind you that this is the same Maverick bench that matched the entire Laker team in game 4 of that series? Jason Terrys hot streak finally came to an end as he ended the game with just 8 points. The bench was led tonight by J.J. Barea who was the spark plug to the Maverick team, and to the fans inside of the American Airlines center. The Mavericks are a team with mostly jump shooters who need someone to create in order make space for them to find their shot. Terry couldnt get space, neither could Peja, and Kidd never goes down the lane to shoot as he is always looking for a pass. The bench didnt have a great game tonight, but I have faith that they will bounce back in game 3. Not because Im from Dallas and am rooting for the Mavericks, but because this team has a much different attitude than Mavericks teams in the past. The acquisition of Tyson Chandler added a very positive feel to the locker room, and Coach Rick Carlisle is very calm and has been in these situations before. Also, to put things into perspective, the Mavericks havent lost in over a month. The NBA playoffs are supposed to be one of the most grueling post seasons in all of sports. To win 7 games in a row in the NBA playoffs is unprecedented.
Game 1 Dirk had 48 points and the Mavs pulled out a win by 9 121-112. Overshadowed by that performance was Durants 40 and Westbrooks 20. The Mavericks were also helped in game 1 with 20+ point performances by J.J. Barea and Jason Terry. Both teams shot pretty evenly even though Nowitzki was in a different world scoring 48 points on just 15 shot attempts. The difference in game 2 was that James Harden scored 23 points off the bench for the Thunder. The entire Maverick bench only had 29 points during game 2. This will not happen consistently. Harden is a great player, but is really the only real perimeter threat the Thunder has if you take away Kevin Durant. Rick Carlisle preaches defense for this years Maverick team, and compared to last year it has improved tremendously. Just to compare, the Mavericks used to be a team that played as much defense as the New York Knicks do now. The past two games are the only two times this post season Dallas has allowed over 100 points in a game. The defense will have to improve, especially the match-up zone in order to stop Hardens perimeter shooting. Also, Terry and Barea only combined for 16 points tonight. Barea played a great game tonight where he showcased with shot going 50% from the 3-point line. He has proven to be a serious threat to defenses trying to guard him and needs to be in order to open Nowitzki, and to create space for the 3-point shot. Terrys hot streak couldnt continue forever and the thing that affected it the most would be the Oklahoma City defense. Credit has to be given where credit is due and the Thunder played great defense tonight.
What are the most prominent ingredients for the Mavericks to try to avenge the 2006 NBA finals? Terry and Marion need to score in double digits to help out Nowitzki. It has been discussed at length that Dirk is in need of a secondary superstar in order to win a championship. This isnt necessarily true. If Dirk were to get a solid 15 points from Marion and Terry with 10 from Barea and Peja, they will be just fine. And, this isnt much to ask for. Marion has not had a very good series so far, but even in a poor performance he managed 9 points. Marion needs to be in in clutch situations for his offensive inside presence. Marion offers a threat to drive the lane and throw up his awkward runner that seems to go in more times than it should. Marion needs to be in in clutch time though, because Stevenson is a liability on offense. He cannot consistently hit the outside shot and fails to spread the defense to open the floor for any teammates. Although great defensively, Stevenson needs to play sparsely throughout the game and Marion needs to be in in the stretch, because he is a very good defender that offers some sort of threat on offense. Oh and if these key role players can put forth the output of 15 points by Marion and Terry and 10 from Barea and Peja, the Mavs would have had an extra 14 points, a very doable 14 points may I add, and the Mavericks, theoretically, would have won this game 8.
These two teams are more evenly matched then people realize. Dont forget that Kevin Durant has already led the league in scoring twice, and Russell Westbrook is arguably one of the most athletic players in the NBA is not the most athletic. James Harden is a very efficient role player, but often times wont almost single-handedly outscore the entire Maverick bench. This game should help maverick fans realize that not every series can be a sweep. Sweeping the Lakers was such a big story, because you just dont see it often. The Mavericks will be fine, because they have an attitude to not back down and to go out and take games instead of having them given to them. The Thunder played some of the best defense Dirk has faced in months, and he still managed 29 points. He missed his first free-throw of the series tonight in the 4th quarter right after one of the announcers commented on his flawless free-throw shooting. Terry had an off night, and will surely bounce back Saturday night in Oklahoma City. This team is different so there is no need to panic at this time. They have faced adversity and responded well in the past. Also, the Mavericks had more road wins than any other team in the league this regular season. Also, the last time the Mavericks lost in the playoffs, they went on to with the next 7 games. If anything, this loss is exactly what the Mavericks needed to regain that fire and desire to get back to the NBA Finals and avenge 2006. There is no need to panic Mavs fans; this series isnt over by any means.

-Colby
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College Football Season is Almost Upon Us

Yes, we are now just days away from the start of the college football season. This year Boise State is rumored to actually have a chance to play for the BCS national championship. Why only now is Boise State eligible for a prize they have deserved the past three seasons? BCS pre-season rankings. Boise State is never ranked very high in the pre-season rankings because they play in a non-BCS conference. (WAC) This basically means that an undefeated Boise State team that has run through all of its competition would rank below an SEC team with two losses. Arguments can be made either way about strength of schedule, but unlike most schools (...Texas, Texas A&m...) Boise State actually plays a decent out of conference schedule. Boise State does what it can do to improve its strength of schedule, but that ultimately isnt good enough for the BCS. Because on the other hand, we have the University of Texas who plays 4 teams that are just barely above the 1AA level. So basically all Texas has to do every year is run through their weak out of conference schedule, then they have to beat Oklahoma, then go on to play a usually overrated Texas A&M and Texas Tech, and struggle with them nonetheless. With this set up Texas is almost guaranteed a spot in the national championship game, while teams like Boise State are left out in the cold. What happens when Boise State gets the chance? The stun all of Norman, and all of the nation by beating the Sooners in the Fiesta Bowl a few years back. A game topped off by Ian Johnsons game winning conversion, who then went up to his cheerleader girlfriend and proposed to her. For all wondering she did say yes. Thatd be one interesting way to ask a girl to homecoming....cute though, I hope shed say yes though or else that kind of screws everything over. Anyway, I am happy to see that this year teams like Boise State and TCU have a chance to make it to the national championship game. Hopefully both teams will make it to the BCS bowls, and not have to play each other.
OK, so as you can tell I dont think much of Texas and their weak out of conference schedule. But, I will say that Texas is trying to improve their out of conference schedule by agreeing to home and home series with Notre Dame and USC. (Granted Notre Dame hasnt been the elite they have been in the past, and USC is on probation) Speaking of USC though, that brings me to my next discussion. With all the current accusations out on the Trojans right now there are talks that Reggie Bush doesnt deserve his Heisman Trophy. That is the dumbest thing Ive heard in a long time. Just because Reggie Bush accepted some cash outside of the game of football, and broke rules violations in that way, takes nothing away from the football player he was in that year. He was the best player in the land for the majority of that season, and he deserved that Heisman Trophy. For those who are saying the title should be stripped from Bush and given to his counter-part in the National Championship game, Vince Young, they are the same people that voted for Vince Young in first place instead of Reggie. Case in point, Reggie Bush deserves his Heisman Trophy, even if he is trying to give it back, and others are trying to take it from him.
How good is the University of Alabama really? Mark Ingram, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner goes down with a knee injury, and will be unavailable for at least the first week of the season if not longer, and what do they do? They replace him with a back that is almost just as electric, and things just seem to go on as they are. The running back filling in for Ingram is Tony Richardson. That name may sound familiar, because he rushed for over 100 yards in the National Championship game against Texas. Nick Saban seems to have his team where he wants them, and he has the depth at every position to be able to handle just about any injury that comes his way.
Lastly, I would like to point out my surprise of the year. Those of you who know me are going to roll your eyes at me for this, but my prediction is that this year we will witness a 16 year bowl drought come to an end. With an exciting leader at quarterback in Robert Griffin III, the Baylor Bears will season at least 6-6 and receive their first bowl bid. Its a bit of a stretch, but Baylor has slowly been improving over the years. This year is going to be different though. Expect the Bears to play even Texas and Oklahoma tougher than most predict this year. Art Briles has his team ready for the upcoming year, and you should expect good things from the Bears this year as they embark on their first bowl season in 16 years. Sic em Bears!
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NFL Picks Against the Spread 2007 Week 16

Only 2 more weeks left as we continue on with the drive to .500!

Panthers (+10.5) over Cowboys

Cardinals (-10) over Falcons

Browns (-2.5) over Bengals

Chiefs (+4.5) over Lions

Bears (+8.5) over Packers

Texans (+7) over Colts

Jaguars (-13) over Raiders

Vikings (-6.5) over Redskins

Patriots (-22) over Dolphins

Eagles (+3) over Saints

Bills (+2.5) over Giants

Ravens (+10.5) over Seahawks

Bucs (-5.5) over 49ers

Jets (+8.5) over Titans

Chargers (-8.5) over Broncos

Last Week: 5-9
Season: 95-102-10
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THIS is why we need a playoff

I was going to include my Oklahoma/Boise St. thoughts in the previous post, but the game was just too good. I still can barely believe what I saw. Last years national championship game obviously had higher stakes, but this one was a more entertaining game, at least on my first reaction.

Not even just the ending either, because the whole game was good. Boise started off great as Paul Thompson made some key mistakes for the Sooners and the Broncos capitalized, but then Paul Thompson and Oklahoma settled down and started playing well on both sides of the ball. Which became evident as the Sooners climbed back from a 28-10 deficit to take a 35-28 lead.

I was all prepared to write about how heartbreaking of a loss it was for Boise St., going from being up 28-20 and a stop away from winning to being down 35-28 just like that. Especially when it got to 4th and 18 with about 20 seconds remaining.

Then things got funny. First a successful hook-and-ladder, which Im not sure if Ive ever actually seen before. It was just so perfectly designed and executed... it was just beautiful to watch. I just sorta stared at the TV in disbelief, thinking that this was one of the better games I had ever seen. And that was just the tip of the iceberg.

Adrian Peterson struck quickly in OT with a 25 yard run on the first play, giving Oklahoma the 42-35 lead. Then Boise St. REALLY opened the playbook. First play looked like it was going to the HB tossing back to Zabransky, who then probably would have thrown it again, but it never materialized. So then they get down to the 5 (that was not a fumble by the way, as the knee was clearly down), and its 4th down again. Instead of doing something safe, they motion Zabransky out, snapping it to backup RB Vinny Perretta, who rolled out and threw a TD pass. Gutsiest call I have ever seen.

Of course, that was just a preview. Because they went for 2 obviously to try and win the game. When the play first started and Zabransky looked like he was throwing it, my thought was: "Huh? After all that trickery, a WR screen? This is their play on the 2-point conversion?" Of course, they fooled me, and apparently they also fooled the Oklahoma defense. The amazing thing is that that play must have been practiced a decent amount... I mean, its not often that you go with the backwards handoff, but it was executed to perfection. The whole Boise gameplan was executed to perfection. What an absolute joy to watch that game.

Of course, now Boise St. should be preparing for another game, in the playoff quarterfinals or semifinals. But thats not going to happen. All Boise St. did was finish their season undefeated and beat the Big 12 Champion. They might get rewarded with a top 5 finish, and of course the victors of one of the most exciting game ever, but its too bad they cant be in the running for something a little more tangible, like the National Championship.

Oh well, for one night, I wont complain too much, and just sit and be happy that I got to watch that game. Just incredible.
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Monday, December 29, 2014

Adrian Peterson TD Run vs Cleveland Browns

Just in case you havent seen this spectacular run from the best RB in the NFL.

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Boston College beats Virginia Tech

For much of the last few weeks I have not been all that high on Boston College, calling them very overrated and not having beaten anyone. For 54 minutes on Thursday I thought this seemed rather accurate.

Then they decided to be awesome for the last 6 minutes or so and come back to beat Virginia Tech 14-10.

Matt Ryan has been shooting up a lot of draft boards this year, but I wasnt convinced yet that he was in the class of Brian Brohm and Andre Woodson as far as the draft was concerned. Well, all the questions were answered on the final 2 drives.

Seriously Matt Ryan was awesome on the final 2 drives. Unbelievable touch, great arm strength, perfect accuracy, good decision making, good mobility in the pocket... it was a thing of beauty. And the 2 TD passes... my goodness. The first one was just an extraordinary pass... he threw it to a spot, and it was perfectly placed just beyond the reach of the defenders hands, just barely giving the receiver enough time to get a foot in. It was beautiful.

Then the game-winner... Matt Ryan scrambled, but he kept his head up and looking downfield. Thats more rare than you might think. And then rolling to his left, throwing across the field and across his body... awesome. Really, thats the best word to describe Matt Ryan on the final 2 drives. He was awesome. And this was all against a great defense in Virginia Tech.

Do I think Boston College is one of the 2 best teams in the country? Probably not. But Im a lot more likely to believe it now. And I am a lot more likely to believe in Matt Ryans skills, both as a Heisman contender and at the next level.
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